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Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FU

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Parrott (24')
Mijnans (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cathline (32'), Aaronson (55')
Romeny (6'), Fraulo (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-2 Elfsborg
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

Matches between these two in recent times have delivered goals, with 21 hitting the back of the net in the last four encounters alone, and given how they have started this season, we are expecting a few more this weekend. However, with 10 goals scored and having not conceded in their two home games this season, we are just about leaning toward AZ to edge the result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
62.87% (0.7 0.7) 19.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 17.58% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (-0.649 -0.65)35.89% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.02% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)57.98% (0.718 0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-1.05 -1.05)33.68% (1.049 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-1.16 -1.16)70.33% (1.157 1.16)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 62.87%
    FC Utrecht 17.58%
    Draw 19.55%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.281 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.049 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 17.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 3-2 Elfsborg
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 AZ
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 9-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, August 17 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Venezia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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