SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
36.79% ( -2.66) | 24.8% ( 0.33) | 38.41% ( 2.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( -1.5) | 44.71% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( -1.46) | 67.07% ( 1.46) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( -2.04) | 23.94% ( 2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( -3) | 58.17% ( 2.99) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.55) | 23.09% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 0.8) | 56.94% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.31)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.41% |
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