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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Adelaarshorst
SR

Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 1
Sparta


Bakker (90+1')
Fernandes (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lauritsen (18')
Kitolano (88')

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam

Off the back of woeful starts to the new campaign, both teams know that anything short of all three points here would leave them playing catch-up so early in the season. We expect an open and exciting match with the hosts narrowly edging out their visitors to secure a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
40.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.99% (-0.123 -0.12) 31.12% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 47% (0.395 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (0.475 0.48)58.86% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.65% (0.368 0.37)79.36% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.232 0.23)28.26% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.292 0.29)63.97% (-0.288 -0.29)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.342 0.34)34.49% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (0.359 0.36)71.2% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 40.89%
    Sparta Rotterdam 31.12%
    Draw 27.98%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 31.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Groningen 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 21 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-5 PSV
Saturday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NEC 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 8 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-3 AZ
Sunday, August 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 Sparta
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, May 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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