Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides going all out in search of the win. However, we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
43.83% ( 0.94)	25.31% ( -0.3)	30.85% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

1.05)

48.41% (

-1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.95)

70.55% (

-0.96)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

0.9)

22.05% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

1.34)

55.39% (

-1.35)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.09)

29.31% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.12)

65.28% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 43.83%

PEC Zwolle 30.85%

Draw 25.31%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.85%