Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides going all out in search of the win. However, we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
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