Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
