Given Fortuna Sittard's recent struggles, NEC will definitely fancy themselves to get the job done in front of their fans. We are tipping the home side to scrape a narrow victory come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
61.75% ( 1.48)	22% ( -0.44)	16.25% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 47.94% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

0.05)

49.22% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

0.05)

71.28% (

-0.05)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58% (

0.51)

15.42% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.74% (

0.94)

44.26% (

-0.94)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.68% (

-1.29)

43.32% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44% (

-1.1)

79.56% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

NEC 61.74%

Fortuna Sittard 16.25%

Draw 21.99%

NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.16% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.25%