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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2021 at 11.15am UK
De Koel
FS

VVV-Venlo
1 - 3
Sittard

Giakoumakis (54')
Giakoumakis (46'), Post (78'), Arias (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Semedo (10'), Seuntjens (59'), Flemming (66')
Seuntjens (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawFortuna Sittard
34.86%24.89%40.25%
Both teams to score 57.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62%45.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29%67.71%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.11%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99%56.01%
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 34.86%
    Fortuna Sittard 40.25%
    Draw 24.88%
VVV-VenloDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.01%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.86%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-1 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.25%

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