Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
