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WI
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
AA

Willem II
0 - 1
AZ


Llonch (37'), Saddiki (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-3 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawAZ Alkmaar
13.87%17.06%69.06%
Both teams to score 59.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.63%31.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.17%52.82%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74%35.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98%72.01%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.76%8.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.2%28.79%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 13.87%
    AZ Alkmaar 69.06%
    Draw 17.06%
Willem IIDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 3.94%
1-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 1.71%
2-0 @ 1.58%
3-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 13.87%
1-1 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.92%
0-0 @ 2.9%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.06%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 9.05%
1-3 @ 7.86%
0-3 @ 7.54%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-4 @ 4.9%
0-4 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 4.09%
2-4 @ 2.56%
1-5 @ 2.45%
0-5 @ 2.35%
2-5 @ 1.28%
1-6 @ 1.02%
0-6 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 69.06%

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