SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 12 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 10 | 9 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 10 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Oulu | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 11 | 4 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
58.26% ( 5.72) | 22.83% ( -1.75) | 18.91% ( -3.97) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 2.41) | 48.5% ( -2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 2.16) | 70.63% ( -2.15) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( 3) | 16.35% ( -2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( 5.17) | 45.95% ( -5.16) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( -2.69) | 39.68% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( -2.58) | 76.36% ( 2.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.98)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 1.14)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.68)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.74)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.53)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.34)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.07% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.83) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.67)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -1.12) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.8)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.91% |
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