SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Oulu | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 10 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Honka had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Honka win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | KuPS |
23.04% ( -0.35) | 26.96% ( -0.09) | 49.99% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( 0.05) | 59.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( 0.04) | 79.84% ( -0.04) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.32) | 41.67% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.85% ( -0.28) | 78.15% ( 0.28) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.23) | 23.95% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( 0.32) | 58.18% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.04% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 14.26% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.99% |
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