SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Aarhus |
44.25% ( -0.04) | 25.03% ( 0) | 30.72% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( 0) | 47.24% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( 0) | 69.47% ( -0) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0.02) | 21.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% ( -0.03) | 54.35% ( 0.03) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.03) | 28.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( 0.03) | 64.66% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.72% |
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