SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| APOEL | Draw | Astana |
61.98% ( 0.03) | 21.88% ( -0.02) | 16.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( 0.06) | 48.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( 0.06) | 71% ( -0.06) |
| APOEL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% ( 0.03) | 15.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% ( 0.06) | 43.92% ( -0.06) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.03) | 43.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% ( 0.02) | 79.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| APOEL | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 61.97% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.14% |
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