SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
38.49% ( -0.1) | 26.37% ( 0.06) | 35.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% ( -0.23) | 51.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% ( -0.2) | 73.59% ( 0.2) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -0.16) | 26.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( -0.22) | 61.41% ( 0.22) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.09) | 28.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( -0.11) | 63.95% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.14% |
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