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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 1
Brondby

Basel win 3-1 on penalties
Frei (40' pen.), Zeqiri (45+5')
Adams (21'), Hitz (45+2'), Burger (63'), Pelmard (81'), Zeqiri (107')
FT
(aet)
Kvistgaarden (45+1')
Cappis (12'), Kvistgaarden (21'), Rosted (64'), Salech (88'), Greve (113'), Bell (119')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Brondby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 0-0 Young Boys
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-1 Brondby
Sunday, August 7 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Brondby had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Brondby win it was 0-1 (8.93%).

Result
BaselDrawBrondby
48.17% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 27.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 24.81% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)58.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (0.035 0.04)79.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)58.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Brondby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.018999999999998 0.02)39.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)76.1% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Basel 48.16%
    Brondby 24.81%
    Draw 27.02%
BaselDrawBrondby
1-0 @ 13.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.81%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Basel 0-0 Young Boys
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Brondby 1-0 Basel
Thursday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Servette
Sunday, July 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 Basel
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-1 Brondby
Sunday, August 7 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 1-0 Basel
Thursday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Silkeborg 2-0 Brondby
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 4-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brondby 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League


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