Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
