SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Kairat |
| 55.46% | 25.82% | 18.72% |
| Both teams to score 41.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.26% | 59.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% | 80.03% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.18% | 54.81% |
| Kairat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.51% | 46.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.9% | 82.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Kairat |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.6% 4-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.45% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.72% |
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