Basel
4 - 2
Kairat

Arthur (15'), Lang (21', 40'), Ndoye (49')
Frei (50'), Djiga (68')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kante (65'), Alves (69' pen.)
Dugalic (12')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Basel and Kairat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Kairat
55.46%	25.82%	18.72%

Both teams to score 41.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.26%

59.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96%

80.03%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18%

54.81%

Kairat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.51%

46.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.9%

82.09%

Score Analysis

Basel 55.45%

Kairat 18.72%

Draw 25.81%

Basel	Draw	Kairat
1-0 @ 15.4% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.6% 4-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.45%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.72%