SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Makedonija Gjorce Petrov had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Makedonija Gjorce Petrov win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Sofia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Makedonija Gjorce Petrov |
43.56% ( 0.01) | 22.87% ( -0.01) | 33.57% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.97% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.01% ( 0.06) | 35.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.92% ( 0.07) | 58.08% ( -0.07) |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( 0.03) | 17.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( 0.06) | 47.25% ( -0.06) |
| Makedonija Gjorce Petrov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.03) | 21.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 0.04) | 54.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Makedonija Gjorce Petrov |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.57% |
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