Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hamrun Spartans in this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
