SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
37.27% ( 0.69) | 26.76% ( -0.08) | 35.97% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( 0.3) | 53.39% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( 0.25) | 74.93% ( -0.26) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.55) | 27.72% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( 0.7) | 63.28% ( -0.71) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.23) | 28.49% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -0.28) | 64.26% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.97% |
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