Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Riga FC
62.86%	18.77%	18.35%

Both teams to score 63.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.37%

30.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.05%

51.94%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59%

9.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.35%

31.64%

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33%

65.66%

Score Analysis

FC Twente 62.87%

Riga FC 18.36%

Draw 18.77%

FC Twente	Draw	Riga FC
2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.54% 4-1 @ 4.41% 4-0 @ 3.63% 4-2 @ 2.68% 5-1 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-2 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.02% Total : 62.87%	1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.77%	1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.71% Total : 18.36%