SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Hammarby |
53.39% ( 0.09) | 21.74% ( -0.03) | 24.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( 0.08) | 36.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( 0.08) | 58.38% ( -0.09) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( 0.05) | 13.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( 0.11) | 40.99% ( -0.11) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( -0) | 27.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( -0.01) | 62.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 24.87% |
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