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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto

Riga FC
2 - 0
Vikingur

Aurelio (31'), Regza (52')
Babec (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hansen (34')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Vikingur Reykjavik.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gil Vicente 4-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Vikingur
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.

Result
Riga FCDrawVikingur Reykjavik
51.62% (0.159 0.16) 24.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 24.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)47.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.030999999999999 0.03)70.04% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.075000000000003 0.08)18.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.127 0.13)49.77% (-0.128 -0.13)
Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)34.08% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.096 -0.1)70.77% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 51.61%
    Vikingur Reykjavik 24.23%
    Draw 24.15%
Riga FCDrawVikingur Reykjavik
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gil Vicente 4-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 1-1 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 2-1 Ruzomberok
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 0-3 Riga FC
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Derry
Thursday, July 14 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Vikingur
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vikingur 1-0 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vikingur 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, July 21 at 8.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vikingur 3-3 Malmo
Tuesday, July 12 at 8.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League


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