SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Riga FC | Draw | Gil Vicente |
36.13% ( 0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.02) | 39.83% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -0.06) | 41.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( -0.06) | 63.52% ( 0.06) |
| Riga FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( 0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( 0) | 56.3% ( -0) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.06) | 20.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( -0.1) | 53.49% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Riga FC | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.83% |
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