SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for LASK Linz had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a LASK Linz win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | LASK Linz |
59.58% ( 0.04) | 21.37% ( -0) | 19.04% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( -0.03) | 41.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.62% ( -0.03) | 64.38% ( 0.03) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( 0) | 13.72% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.02% ( 0) | 40.97% ( 0) |
| LASK Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% ( -0.05) | 35.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.05) | 72.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | LASK Linz |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.27% 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 19.04% |
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