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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
FL

Genoa
0 - 1
Fiorentina


Pinamonti (2'), Vogliacco (78'), Vasquez (90+2'), Matturro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gosens (72')
Richardson (6'), Martinez (11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-2 Fiorentina

Genoa boss Alberto Gilardino is set to suffer more misery against one of his former clubs, as injuries have bitten his squad hard. With Fiorentina in red-hot form, the hosts will have their hands full at the back - and they are missing key men throughout the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
GenoaDrawFiorentina
19.38% (-0.951 -0.95) 23.03% (-0.503 -0.5) 57.59% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.824 0.82)48.67% (-0.823 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (0.745 0.74)70.78% (-0.745 -0.75)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.544 -0.54)39.27% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.511 -0.51)75.97% (0.51100000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.813 0.81)16.64% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (1.438 1.44)46.48% (-1.437 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 19.38%
    Fiorentina 57.58%
    Draw 23.03%
GenoaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.38%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 11.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.5% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.28% (0.289 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.87% (0.186 0.19)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.63% (0.151 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.054 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.097 0.1)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 57.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-1 Genoa
Saturday, October 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Sampdoria (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: St Gallen 2-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A


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