Genoa boss Alberto Gilardino is set to suffer more misery against one of his former clubs, as injuries have bitten his squad hard.
With Fiorentina in red-hot form, the hosts will have their hands full at the back - and they are missing key men throughout the final third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
-0.95) 
1.45) 
