Fiorentina may not always travel well, but a squad that has safely negotiated their way to the final in consecutive campaigns should have enough nous to see off St Gallen.
The home side are leaking goals far too frequently, so they are surely bound for another Conference League defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
