SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
43.42% ( -0.38) | 25.9% ( 0.31) | 30.68% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( -1.26) | 50.99% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( -1.12) | 72.86% ( 1.11) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.72) | 23.36% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( -1.07) | 57.33% ( 1.07) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.59) | 30.73% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -0.7) | 66.99% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
