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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
HV

Fiorentina
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Kean (4', 59', 90+2')
Kean (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Serdar (18')
Coppola (35'), Serdar (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: APOEL 2-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma
Sunday, November 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Hellas Verona

While last week's win was important, Zanetti will know that his Verona side are still too close for comfort to the bottom three, and away form this season suggests this will be a difficult assignment. Only Venezia and Lecce have fewer points than Verona on the road, while Fiorentina have won five in a row in Serie A and are unbeaten on home soil this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
72.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 17.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 10.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)44.81% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)67.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.66% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.34% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)50.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)84.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.14%
    Hellas Verona 10.13%
    Draw 17.72%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 13.49%
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 72.14%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: APOEL 2-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: St Gallen 2-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma
Sunday, November 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Venezia
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A


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