SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LASK Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
37.5% ( 0.01) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 36.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.03) | 48.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.03) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
| LASK Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.01) | 59.95% ( 0.01) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.03) | 60.4% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| LASK Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.91% |
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