Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
