SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
35.58% ( 0.18) | 25.47% ( -0.23) | 38.95% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( 1.02) | 47.9% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 0.93) | 70.08% ( -0.93) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.59) | 26.1% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( 0.78) | 61.16% ( -0.78) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.49) | 24.24% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 0.68) | 58.6% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.95% |
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