SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 38.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
38.43% ( 0.22) | 23.17% ( -0.06) | 38.4% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.27) | 36.71% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.3) | 58.88% ( -0.3) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.22) | 19.57% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( 0.36) | 51.49% ( -0.36) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.04) | 19.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( 0.07) | 51.51% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 38.4% |
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