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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
0 - 1
Tromso


Siltanen (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nordas (54')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and Tromso IL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Lahti
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
KuPSDrawTromso IL
48.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 24.14% (-0.134 -0.13) 27.54% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (0.657 0.66)45.13% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.627 0.63)67.47% (-0.627 -0.63)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.274 0.27)18.78% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.455 0.45)50.18% (-0.454 -0.45)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.41199999999999 0.41)29.98% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.494 0.49)66.1% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 48.32%
    Tromso IL 27.54%
    Draw 24.14%
KuPSDrawTromso IL
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Lahti
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 5-0 UNA Strassen
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 3-1 Gnistan
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Oulu 1-0 KuPS
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 KuPS
Wednesday, June 19 at 7pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 KFUM
Saturday, July 13 at 9pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 0-0 Tromso
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 1-2 Tromso
Wednesday, July 3 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 0-2 Molde
Friday, June 28 at 8.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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