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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
1 - 0
KuPS

Hjerto-Dahl (29')
Kvalvagnes Guddal (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miettinen (69'), Siltanen (89')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tromso IL and KuPS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: EIF 1-2 KuPS
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawKuPS
34.8% (0.215 0.22) 25.51% (-0.041 -0.04) 39.69% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.232 0.23)48.18% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (0.213 0.21)70.34% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.242 0.24)26.7% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (0.314 0.31)61.95% (-0.306 -0.31)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.23% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 34.8%
    KuPS 39.69%
    Draw 25.51%
Tromso ILDrawKuPS
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KuPS 0-1 Tromso
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 KFUM
Saturday, July 13 at 9pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 0-0 Tromso
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 1-2 Tromso
Wednesday, July 3 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: EIF 1-2 KuPS
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-1 Tromso
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Lahti
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 5-0 UNA Strassen
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 3-1 Gnistan
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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