SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Nice |
32.02% ( 0.07) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.41) | 47.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( 0.38) | 69.98% ( -0.37) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.25) | 28.23% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( 0.31) | 63.93% ( -0.31) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.19) | 22.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( 0.28) | 55.79% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.02% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.71% |
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