SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Troyes |
56.14% ( -0.04) | 23.84% ( 0) | 20.02% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( 0.04) | 51.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% ( 0.03) | 72.95% ( -0.03) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% | 18.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( -0) | 48.93% ( 0) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( 0.06) | 39.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% ( 0.06) | 76.62% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 56.13% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.02% |
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