SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
40.08% ( 0.24) | 23.49% ( -0.03) | 36.43% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 63.33% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( 0.11) | 38.41% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( 0.12) | 60.7% ( -0.12) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.16) | 19.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.26) | 51.45% ( -0.26) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -0.06) | 21.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( -0.09) | 54.21% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.43% |
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