SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Derry City |
44.21% ( 0) | 28.62% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.02) | 62.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( -0.01) | 82.04% ( 0.01) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.01) | 28.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( -0.01) | 63.85% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( -0.02) | 39.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( -0.02) | 76.24% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.63% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.17% |
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