SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
30.52% ( 0.02) | 28.21% ( 0) | 41.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( -0.01) | 59.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( -0.01) | 80.09% ( 0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.01) | 35.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 0.01) | 72.2% ( -0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.02) | 28.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( -0.02) | 64.28% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.26% |
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