Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
Lahti	Draw	KuPS
24.37% ( 0.36)	27.33% ( -0.01)	48.29% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 44.65% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.22% (

0.28)

59.77% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.93% (

0.21)

80.06% (

-0.21)

Lahti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44% (

0.49)

40.56% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84% (

0.44)

77.16% (

-0.44)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-0.04)

24.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

-0.05)

59.49% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lahti 24.37%

KuPS 48.28%

Draw 27.33%

Lahti	Draw	KuPS
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 24.37%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 14.03% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.28%