Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
Result | ||
Lahti | Draw | KuPS |
24.37% ( 0.36) | 27.33% ( -0.01) | 48.29% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.22% ( 0.28) | 59.77% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.93% ( 0.21) | 80.06% ( -0.21) |
Lahti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.44% ( 0.49) | 40.56% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.84% ( 0.44) | 77.16% ( -0.44) |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( -0.04) | 24.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.51% ( -0.05) | 59.49% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lahti | Draw | KuPS |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 24.37% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 14.03% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.28% |
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