SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
57.65% ( -0.02) | 24.96% ( 0.01) | 17.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% ( -0.02) | 58.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% ( -0.01) | 79.05% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.01) | 20.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( -0.02) | 52.63% ( 0.02) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0) | 47.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.24% ( -0) | 82.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 15.32% 2-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 57.64% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.39% |
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