Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
60.45% ( 0.09) | 23.04% ( -0.01) | 16.5% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.4% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.09% ( -0.06) | 52.91% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% ( -0.05) | 74.52% ( 0.05) |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0.01) | 17.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.62% ( 0.02) | 47.38% ( -0.02) |
Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.8% ( -0.13) | 45.2% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.91% ( -0.11) | 81.09% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.45% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.5% |
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