SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for KuPS had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a KuPS win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | KuPS |
47.16% ( 0.01) | 28.03% ( -0) | 24.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.23% ( 0) | 61.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.43% ( 0) | 81.56% ( -0) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.01) | 26.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.01) | 61.47% ( -0.01) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.01) | 41.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0) | 77.82% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.8% |
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