SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
68.25% ( 0.02) | 18.44% ( 0) | 13.31% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.38% ( -0.07) | 39.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.07) | 61.96% ( 0.07) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( -0.02) | 10.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.59% ( -0.03) | 34.4% ( 0.03) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.08) | 41.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.01% ( -0.07) | 77.99% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.44% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.31% |
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