While it cannot be ruled out that Malmo's woes could continue against another unassuming opponent this week, a squad with plenty of European experience should take at least a one-goal lead to Luxembourg.
Dudelange can be vulnerable defensively, as evidenced by their second-half collapse last time out, and are likely to concede more than once.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
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