SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
47.3% ( -0.03) | 22.46% ( -0.05) | 30.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.29) | 35.51% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.32) | 57.56% ( -0.31) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.1) | 15.49% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.63% ( 0.18) | 44.37% ( -0.17) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.2) | 23.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( 0.28) | 57.25% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.24% |
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