SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Udinese | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Roma |
19.4% ( -0.04) | 22.3% ( 0.03) | 58.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( -0.21) | 45.57% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( -0.2) | 67.89% ( 0.2) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.17) | 37.45% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -0.16) | 74.23% ( 0.16) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( -0.07) | 15.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( -0.13) | 44.05% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.4% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.3% |
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