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Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
ML

Gent
2 - 1
Molde

Fadiga (24'), Brown (90+5')
Watanabe (10'), Kums (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Daehli (78')
Lund Jensen (39'), Wolff Eikrem (44'), Bjornbak (84')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Gent and Molde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Gent
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 0-1 Sandefjord
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Molde had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gent in this match.

Result
GentDrawMolde
41.36% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.68%
Score Analysis
    Gent 41.36%
    Molde 34.61%
    Draw 24.03%
GentDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Gent
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Gent
Sunday, October 6 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Gent
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Gent 3-0 Leuven
Sunday, September 29 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-1 Gent
Thursday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-4 Gent
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 0-1 Sandefjord
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Larne
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Molde 5-3 Tromso
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KFUM 1-1 Molde
Monday, September 23 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 0-4 Molde
Wednesday, September 18 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad
Saturday, September 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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