SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for Gent had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Gent |
57.14% ( -0.6) | 21.1% ( 0.17) | 21.77% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.21) | 36.79% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.23) | 58.96% ( 0.22) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( -0.24) | 12.77% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% ( -0.5) | 39.06% ( 0.5) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.26) | 30.11% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( 0.32) | 66.25% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.99% Total : 57.14% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
